While We’re Young (Ideas) – Special NCAA Edition
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By TERRY LYONS, Editor of Digital Sports Desk
PROVIDENCE – Highly respected sports industry guru Tony Ponturo, he of multi-time nominee and winner for both the Most Powerful Man in Sports and in the theatre industry, wrote a thought-leadership book entitled, “Revenge of the C+ Student.” Ponturo, a two time TONY Award winner for his efforts on Broadway, reviving “Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf” and producing 2010 Best Musical “Memphis,” helped make the brands “Bud” and “Bud Light” household names on a worldwide basis. Just ask The Budweiser Clydesdales.
Ponturo spent 26 years selling Bud, the exact same amount of time this columnist spent working for David Stern at the National Basketball Association. Looking at those two parallel lines, and enlightened by Ponturo’s book and his transcript, I’d love to author a similar sports business practice book and I’d call it, “At Least I Was Good at Geography.”
To wit, I give you this year’s brackets for NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball.
In the East, we have:
- No. 2 Alabama
- No. 3 Wisconsin
- No. 4 Arizona
- No. 5 Oregon
- No. 6 BYU (Utah)
- No. 7 St. Mary’s Moraga (California)
- No. 14 Montana
In the West, we have:
No. 1 Florida
No. 2 St. John’s (New York)
No. 3 Texas Tech (Lubbock, Texas)
No. 4 Maryland
No. 5 Memphis (Tennessee)
No. 6 Missouri
No. 8 UConn (Hartford, Connecticut area)
No. 9 Oklahoma
No. 14 UNC Wilmington (North Carolina)
No. 16 Norfolk State (Norfolk, Virginia)
There’s a few more.
In the South, there’s Michigan State (Lansing), Marquette (Wisconsin), Yale (New Haven, Connecticut), and Michigan (Ann Arbor) – four schools where you can’t get much further North, unless Canada does become the 51st State and UConn is south of Yukon.
In the Midwest, the bracket claims, UCLA (Los Angeles), Gonzaga (Spokane, Washington), Utah State (Logan, Utah), and then a slew of Southeastern or Southern schools like Wofford (Spartanburg, South Carolina), High Point (North Carolina), Clemson (South Carolina), Kentucky, McNeese (Lake Charles, Louisiana), Tennessee and Georgia.
There are other examples, but you surely get the point.
In recent years, the NCAA made adjustments to the brackets so an Eastern team such as St. John’s (full disclosure as my alma mater) can play in the West Regional but remain in Providence, Rhode Island to do so. But, success in Providence sends teams in that pod to San Francisco while a successful weekend in Seattle for Arizona or Oregon sends a team to Newark New Jersey.
The tournament itself increased from 64 to 68 teams in 2001, so we’ve been bickering about this stuff for decades. Still, there is no resolve and it’s pretty bad when there’s no Big East team in the East.
Admittedly, this is nothing new being reported. The days of a truly East vs West NCAA Tournament went out with the 16 team set-up which gave the National Invitational Tournament (NIT) in New York the golden opportunity of securing a very deep field in the late ‘60s and early ‘70’s. As the times changed and the Big Dance played to a bigger ballroom of dancers, the money kicked in and TV programmers maxed-out the billions being spent.
Suffice it to say, the names of the regionals should no longer be East, West, South and Midwest, and maybe the NCAA should take a page out of the NHL’s book and rename the basketball regionals something like:
- Lester Patrick
- Conn Smythe
- James Norris
- Charles Francis Adams
Joking aside, it’s time to rid the tournament of its D- grade in Geography, as the Men’s and Women’s basketball committees divvy-up the schools with goals other than to stack them to represent a region of the USA.
May it be suggested:
- Dave Gavitt Division (East)
- John Wooden Division (West)
- Ray Meyer Division (Midwest)
- Guy Lewis Division (South-Texas-Southwest representation)
Those names, in tribute of Dave Gavitt (founder of the BIG EAST), John Wooden (the great UCLA coach), Ray Meyer (coached Chicago’s DePaul University from 1942 to 1984) and Guy Lewis (coach of University of Houston from 1956 to 1986). To pay proper respect to college basketball in the United States, the Most Outstanding Player from each division would be recognized and awarded with:
- Gavitt MOP received the Patrick Ewing Trophy
- Wooden MOP honored with the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Trophy
- Meyer MOP receives the Oscar Robertson Trophy
- Lewis MOP honored with the Junior Bridgeman Trophy
Should the tournament choose to expand, we could very easily add:
- Gonzaga Division (Northwest) – MOP award John Stockton Trophy
- Coach K Division (Southeast) – MOP gets the Michael Jordan Trophy (apologies to Grant Hill, Ralph Sampson, Artis Gilmore and Len Bias).
Those two divisional mentioned do not need further explanation, I hope.
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The bottom line as the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball tournament begins, is that the famed, crack committee did a pretty good job of selecting the right teams and fairly distributing them across the four existing regional pods, sans the Group of Death they sent out West.
The West is so stacked, a hot team like Florida, after its No. 1 vs No. 16 tilt against Norfolk State, will have a rough road to the Final 4, including:
- Winner of UConn v.Oklahoma
- Winner of Memphis v. Colo State/or/Maryland v. Grand Canyon
- A Regional Final against No. 2 St. John’s or others (Kansas/Texas Tech) etc
There’s gotta be a better way.
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PICKS: Here are a few picks that are going into a combination of my two or three bracket submission with friends and family. (Note: I always bang out one bracket on Selection Sunday night and set it aside). Then with more thought and research I do another bracket for use in pools.
TEAMS CONSIDERED HOT: These teams were playing the best over the past few weeks and into their conference tournaments:
- Florida
- Duke
- Houston
- Auburn
- Tennessee
- Michigan State
- St John’s
- Alabama
- Texas Tech
- Iowa State
FACTS: In the Round of 64, the higher seed wins 71.5% and that includes No. 8 v. No. 9 which are really equal … In the Second Round, the better seeds win at a 73.1% clip. After that, the advantage for the higher seeds declines gradually:
- Sweet 16 – 63.8% victory pace for higher seed
- Elite 8 – 55%
In terms of vulnerable seeds since 2009, the No. 6 seeds are (29-31) against the No. 11s. In just the last 10 years, No. 11 seeds are 22-18 vs. No. 6
Applying the 6 vs 11 raw data to this particular year’s bracket set-up surfaces a few interesting upset possibilities:
- In the East bracket, can No. 11 VCU upset No. 6 BYU in Denver where you have to figure in the travel and altitude?
- In the South, No. 6 Ole Miss has to play the hot play-in winner of North Carolina.
- In the West, No. 6 Missouri (22-11) has a tough draw vs. No. 11 Drake (30-3).
- And, in the Midwest bracket, No. 6 Illinois will face play-in winner Xavier, a team that finished the Big East regular season quite strong with seven straight victories to close out the season before meeting and losing to Marquette at the Garden.
The teams entering the tournament that have executed the best in terms of both Offensive and Defensive efficiency:
- Auburn
- Duke
- Florida
- Houston
- Arizona
- Tennessee
- Louisville
Not to bore anyone with a full Round-by-Round, Pick-by-Pick selection show, (see Jay Bilas’ column on ESPN.com as he does a much better job than everyone else put together), I’ll simply list my Regional Finalist predictions. Yes, they are rather high seeds.
- East: Duke vs. Wisconsin
- Midwest: Houston vs. Tennessee
- South: Auburn vs. Michigan State
- West: Florida vs St. John’s
No matter what – whether your bracket is torn up tomorrow or your favorite team survives and advances – it’s time for March Madness. Enjoy the ride. Enjoy the spectacle of the best of College Basketball (Men’s and Women’s) with a love of the game and not the X and O marks on a piece of paper, otherwise known in American culture as “your bracket.”
TL